Ten races will be run and won at Rosehill on Saturday for Winter Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
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Race 1. (11:00) Chandon Hcp 1400m
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I just can’t ignore the price of 3 Depth Of Character (Bet Now:
$SP.00), an Annabel Neasham trained juvenile. Not sure what he beat on debut at Canterbury, but the way he let down and put them away to win…he looks a really good prospect and I am sure he will reach Stakes grade in time. Like him here.
Danger
8 Superhero (Bet Now: $12.00) is a juvenile that I think has an engine under the hood. He did more than enough on debut at Gosford over 1100m before going to 1300m here a fortnight back where he got too far out of his ground but he kept finding the line in a decent effort behind Emirate. Like him up to 1400m and dangerous if he can settle closer.
Long Shot
2 Raq Queen (Bet Now:
$SP.00) can be a big improver for David Payne. Talented filly that resumed three weeks back at Randwick where the late market flucs said she had three legs and while she was never threatening, her last 100m and through the line was quite good. Like her up in trip, fitter…just needs luck from the gate.
Race 2. (11:35) Midway (Bm72) 1200m
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19 Eye Pea Oh (Bet Now: $26.00) is humming for Team Freedman and is bursting to win a race. Good against the pattern at Newcastle two back before racing here two weeks ago where she just got a mile out of her ground despite drawing well and she rocketed to the line late behind impressive winner Yiska. If she can settle closer in the run, I think she’ll take beating.
Danger
18 Yiska (Bet Now: $2.90) has always shown good ability since day one but had been out of the winners list for some time. That changed here a fortnight back when bolting up in the Midway, letting down with purpose and he gapped his rivals. He has looked Saturday class at times so the talent is there and now his confidence is up.
Long Shot
11 Sebrenco (Bet Now: $35.00) is an improver at odds for Tracey Bartley. This mare resumed in the Yiska Midway from two weeks back over 1100m here. She got out of her ground and did make up headway without threatening behind Yiska. Think a firmer deck will really help the cause and becomes more dangerous if ridden with a touch more intent.
Race 3. (12:10) Tab Highway Hcp (C3) 1400m
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2 Know Thyself (Bet Now: $1.85) should take beating here for the Messara/Gavranich camp. This gelding resumed over 1250m at Canterbury at the midweeks where he just looked a bit rusty, in need of the run, but did keep on finding the line in a solid return behind Shehasattitude. Fitter and up in trip, he looks a really good prospect and better than Highway grade.
Danger
18 Mighty Myrtle (Bet Now: $17.00) is a Keith Dryden trained filly that is heading in the right direction. She has won two on the bounce, firstly at Queanbeyan before going to Moruya where she gave them a start and a beating, letting down with real purpose late to win nicely. Good test here against likely types but confident she measures up.
Long Shot
13 Royal Teens (Bet Now: $34.00) is racing as if 1400m will be okay. Terry Evans trains this mare, who was down the track in a Highway at Newcastle two back before going 1250m at Taree where she was chasing from a fair way out but she kept finding the line and only just missed when a narrow second. Not sure she wins, but a first four contender.
Race 4. (12:45) James Squire (Bm78) 2000m
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I am convinced that 6 Principessa (Bet Now: $13.00) is flying for Joe Pride and on the seven day back up, up in trip, I think she is the each way gamble. She ran over the mile last Saturday at Randwick where she got back in the run and took forever to wind into her work but she was very good late in the piece behind Bright Red. Like her up to 2000m, good upside…each way for me.
Danger
5 Kureder (Bet Now: $5.50) is finding it hard to win but is honest and thereabouts. Just got a bit too far out of his ground three weeks ago at Randwick but did keep finding the line and the run had good merit to it in defeat behind Golden Path. Back to 78 grade, home track, hard to beat if he can settle closer.
Long Shot
2 Camaguey (Bet Now: $19.00) is three weeks between runs for Kim Waugh since racing over 2000m at Randwick in a pretty solid 88 and was solid late without threatening behind a nice horse in Golden Path. He’s been up a little while but has been racing pretty well, certainly good enough to be more than competitive here.
Race 5. (13:20) Tab (Bm72) 1400m
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5 Captain Furai (Bet Now: $3.30) has done little wrong in his three start career for Chris Waller and rates highly. He ran two weeks ago where he tried his guts out on the testing ground and for a few strides, looked the winner, but had to settle for a second to Franz Josef. Like him on a firmer deck and hard to beat if there is petrol left in the tank.
Danger
8 How Dare You (Bet Now: $5.50) is a progressive filly for James Cummings that is heading in the right direction and confident she can measure up here. She resumed during the Scone Carnival where she got into a decent spot just off the speed before angling into clear air and she let down with purpose late to win and win well. Tick over trial was quite good, she’ll be strong late and has good upside.
Long Shot
1 True Crime (Bet Now: $21.00) can run an improved race at odds for Kim Waugh. He ran at the midweeks at Canterbury last time out when near the speed throughout and he tried his guts out but couldn’t quite finish it off, tiring late behind Little Contreau. That was his first run in a couple of months so I do think he has room for improvement.
Race 6. (13:55) Precise Air (Bm78) 1300m
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10 Eye Pea Oh (Bet Now: $10.00) is humming for Team Freedman and is bursting to win a race. Good against the pattern at Newcastle two back before racing here two weeks ago where she just got a mile out of her ground despite drawing well and she rocketed to the line late behind impressive winner Yiska. If she can settle closer in the run, I think she’ll take beating.
Danger
8 Anagain (Bet Now: $14.00) finds it hard to win, but she is an honest mare for Joe Pride that is rarely far away from the thick end of the prize. She ran at Randwick a few weeks back and was good from off the speed. She kept on chasing without being a winning threat when third to a nice filly, Konasana. She has that 1400m run under the belt, which means she should be stronger at the end.
Long Shot
5 Miss Hades (Bet Now: $15.00) should be suited back to 1300m for Gary Portelli. She ran over the mile at Newcastle last time where she struggled on the bog and couldn’t pick her feet up in the conditions, finishing down the track behind a class filly, Scarlet Oak. Back to 1300m and firmer footing, she appeals to bounce back.
Race 7. (14:30) Atc Foundation (Bm72) 1100m
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2 Passeggiata (Bet Now: $3.30) is a speed demon for Bjorn Baker who will look the winner for a long way. That was indeed the case a few weeks back over 1000m at Randwick and gave a strong kick from the front but had no answers for the finale of The Black Cloud. Her jump/run racing style gives herself every chance to see this out and win.
Danger
11 Pisanello (Bet Now: $11.00) is a talented three year old for James Cummings that I want to give another chance to. He let down with lovely change up speed to win during the Scone Carnival before racing here two weeks ago where at the top of the straight, he looked the winner, but I just don’t think he let down on the bog. Better suited here on the firmer deck and hard fit, he can bounce back.
Long Shot
7 Wild Botanica (Bet Now: $9.00) is three weeks between runs for Joe Pride since resuming over 1000m at Randwick. She got into a decent spot just off the speed and tried her guts out but she couldn’t quite get there when fourth to stablemate The Black Cloud. Tick over trial last week behind stablemate Testator Silens was strong and she’ll be charging at them late.
Race 8. (15:05) Winter Cup 2400m
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I have been a fan of 7 Point King (Bet Now: $8.50) since racing in Ireland and now he’s down under, I am keen to see him. He made his Australian debut over 2000m at Randwick three weeks ago and just looked in need of the run behind Golden Path. Like him up to 2400m, right down in the weights and on a firmer deck, he’ll be hard to beat.
Danger
2 Hopeful (Bet Now: $3.40) is on the seven day back up after racing last Saturday in the Lord Mayors Cup where he was badly held up when wanting to get clear air and I think you can make a case to say he wins if he got clear air when second to Eliyass. Like him up to 2400m and the depth here isn’t deep.
Long Shot
10 Camaguey (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Kim Waugh since racing over 2000m at Randwick in a pretty solid 88 and was solid late without threatening behind a nice horse in Golden Path. He’s been up a little while but has been racing pretty well, certainly good enough to be more than competitive here.
Race 9. (15:45) Racing For Good On July 13 (Bm78) 1500m
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16 Captain Furai (Bet Now: $4.60) has done little wrong in his three start career for Chris Waller and rates highly. He ran two weeks ago where he tried his guts out on the testing ground and for a few strides, looked the winner, but had to settle for a second to Franz Josef. Like him on a firmer deck and hard to beat if there is petrol left in the tank.
Danger
6 Franz Josef (Bet Now: $2.45) has done little wrong in a four start career and rates highly. Ryan/Alexiou trained gelding that was a strong winner here a fortnight back. He was strongly challenged by Captain Furai but he was able to fend it off and he kept finding, proving quite strong to the line in winning. Room for improvement, he takes beating.
Long Shot
4 Vegas Outlaw (Bet Now: $41.00) is a definite improver for Sara Ryan. He resumed three weeks back over 1400m at Randwick where he got back in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he kept finding the line and was a definite pass mark in defeat behind Diamond Diesel. Fitter and up in trip, not dismissing him.
Race 10. (16:25) Rosehill Bowling Club (Bm78) 1300m
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5 King Of Naples (Bet Now: $8.00) will do me in the get out. John O’Shea trained gelding that resumed four weeks ago at Scone where he was nearer the inside, quicksand, and stuck on very well in defeat in a pass mark behind talented mare Dollar Magic. Fitter and up in trip, kind map, he rates highly for me.
Danger
3 Testator Silens (Bet Now: $12.00) is a big, big improver for Joe Pride. He resumed three weeks ago over 1000m at Randwick where he got back to near last in the run and did make up decent ground without threatening behind The Black Cloud. Tick over trial was a good piece of work, he loves Rosehill and has a great second up record.
Long Shot
12 Heman (Bet Now:
$SP.00) can run an improved race. This three year old is several weeks between runs for Team Snowden, having not raced since the South Pacific at Randwick when back and was okay late without threatening on testing ground behind Panic. Firmer deck, hopefully, and maps to stalk a strong tempo.
BEST BET: Race Three Number 2 Know Thyself
NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 2 Passeggiata
LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 7 Point King
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 2
Leg Two: 1, 2, 7, 10, 11
Leg Three: 6, 16
Leg Four: 3, 5, 10, 12
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