A nine race program has been assembled for Belmont on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.
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Race 1. (14:04) Schweppes Plate 1000m
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2 The Agency (Bet Now: $10.00) is the one for me but not really a race I want to get involved in. Trevor Andrews trained juvenile that ran over this track/distance last Wednesday where he got back off the speed and took a little while to wind into his work but was solid to the line and a definite pass mark when third to Overdrive. Better for the run and this isn’t a deep contest.
Danger
1 Scenic George (Bet Now: $7.50) is knocking on the door to breakthrough for Team Pearce. He ran over this track/distance two weeks ago when attempting to lead throughout and giving a very solid kick but just didn’t have the sustained speed to see it through when second to September Born. Good racing style and strikes a very winnable race.
Long Shot
6 Areduet (Bet Now: $16.00) is dangerous if she can get an economical run in transit. This girl ran in the September Born race from two weeks back when wide throughout and did make up ground without threatening in a good effort. If she can settle closer, get a drag into the race, she’s going well enough to win.
Race 2. (14:41) Tabtouch Handicap (0MWLY) 1200m
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2 Russian Sniper (Bet Now: $3.70) has been up forever it seems but is racing in very strong form for Adam Durrant and he looks a near good thing to my eye. He ran over 1400m here two weeks ago when on speed throughout and giving a solid kick but 1400m just found him out and he had no answers late for the finale of Californication. Back to 1200m, back miles in grade/depth, keen on his chances.
Danger
3 Snazzler (Bet Now: $5.50) looks to have come back in pretty good order for Jason Pateman and rates highly. He resumed over this track/distance last Wednesday where he got a mile out of his ground but worked home with real purpose in an excellent effort behind Pearly Nugget. If he can jump clean and be within range, he’ll be a threat.
Long Shot
4 Probity (Bet Now: $23.00) is a Colin Webster trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since Feb 17 at Pinjarra when back in the run and while he was never threatening, he did make up ground behind Multinational. Good fresh record and moved well in a trial here last week.
Race 3. (15:19) George Ready Memorial Handicap (66+) 2100m
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5 Kisses From Kelly (Bet Now: $2.80) is flying for Holly Taylor and for mine, is the one to beat. He has won two on the bounce, both coming here over 2100m and 2200m here. Latest was last Saturday where he landed in a plum spot behind the speed before angling clear and he made a mess of them late in the piece. Heading in the right direction and should prove hard to beat against this lot.
Danger
3 Antique Miss (Bet Now: $2.50) is unknown at this distance range but she’s racing as if she will eat it up. She ran over the mile here last Saturday where she got a fair way out of her ground but charged to the line late in the piece when a narrow second to Playhouse Patron. Up in trip, Pike on, key threat.
Long Shot
4 Strike Now (Bet Now: $11.00) is a definite winning chance. He ran fourth to Citino two weeks back over 2200m here. He got back in the run but stayed inside to save ground and tried hard to get there but had to settle for a close up fourth. I think if he can get to the outside and wind up, he becomes dangerous.
Race 4. (15:56) Quayclean Handicap (1MW) 1200m
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1 Famous Jurney (Bet Now: $6.00) is a little while between wins but that said, he looks to have returned in good order and is nearing that elusive victory I feel. He hasn’t raced since June 8 when on speed at this track/distance and tried his guts out but had to settle for a narrow second to Russian Sniper. Right racing style, good track/distance record, rates highly.
Danger
6 Mocha Dream (Bet Now: $11.00) is yet to win in several attempts at Belmont but he is racing really well and appeals as one of the key chances. He ran over 1100m last Thursday at Northam where he got off the speed and worked home strongly when second to Under Influence. The run prior here behind Rockin Rupert was a beauty and off that, he should prove hard to beat.
Long Shot
5 Rogues Point (Bet Now: $19.00) is a son of Mawingo that resumes. He is first up, having not raced since April 20 at Ascot when on speed and tried hard but tired late when down the track behind Yarralea. Resumes without a public trial but can sprint well fresh and this isn’t an overly deep contest.
Race 5. (16:35) Belmont Oaks 2000m
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3 Petrouchka (Bet Now: $3.10) is racing as if she’ll eat up the 2000m. Team Williams trained filly that ran two weeks ago over the mile here in the Belmont Guineas where she got back to near last in the run but worked home with real purpose late in the piece when second to Luvnwar. Off that effort, 2000m looks ideal, Pike sticks, ideal map to settle closer, keen on her chances.
Danger
1 Luvnwar (Bet Now: $1.70) is heading in the right direction for Michael Grantham. This filly has won her past two, winning over 1400m two back before stepping up to the mile in the Guineas where she landed in a plum spot and duly saluted, winning quite impressively. 2000m is the slight query but hard to knock how she’s racing.
Long Shot
4 Cruise To Rio (Bet Now: $18.00) is in with a shout. Holly Taylor trained filly that ran over the mile against the older horses here last Wednesday where she got a fair way out of her ground and while she was never threatening, she kept finding the line in a really good effort behind Stylish Lord. I think if 2000m is fine, she can run top four.
Race 6. (17:11) Aquanita Stakes 2000m
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5 Manzor Magic (Bet Now: $3.80) on top for me. Team Williams trained three year old that resumed over the mile at Northam, leading throughout and credit to him, he was quite strong to the line in winning, with the margin being just under three lengths in a strong return. Love him up to 2000m and with upside/progression, he’s the one to beat.
Danger
1 Cool Memory (Bet Now: $2.30) has been up forever it seems like but he is a very honest animal. He comes through the Belmont Guineas where he attempted to lead throughout and he gave a decent kick but just couldn’ quite see it through when third to Luvnwar. I think with a more patient steer, he should be fine at 2000m and can threaten.
Long Shot
2 Stylish Lord (Bet Now: $6.00) is in winning form and I think will appreciate a rise to 2000m. He ran over the mile here last Wednesday where he gave them a start and beating, finishing best to win in good style. Harder here, clearly, but off a win, he gives the indication of appreciating 2000m…knockout hope.
Race 7. (17:48) Bisley Workwear Handicap (66+) 1400m
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8 Speed Dream (Bet Now: $13.00) is the each way bet for me here. He comes back to 1400m after racing over the mile two weeks ago where he seemingly got a sweet run in transit and was there to pose as some sort of threat but he couldn’t quite finish the race off behind Sentimental Hero. Back to 1400m and back in depth, he will run an improved race I am sure.
Danger
1 Fluro Neuro (Bet Now: $3.00) has returned in really good order for Team Williams and rates highly for me. He did more than enough fresh behind Twain’s Angel before stepping up to 1300m a fortnight back and let down with purpose from off the speed to score. 1400m should be fine and with good upside, is hard to beat.
Long Shot
5 Top Of The Pops (Bet Now: $13.00) has had a couple of runs for Team Gangemi and should be around the mark at odds. He ran over 1200m two weeks back here when off the speed and just whacked to the line but was far from disgraced in defeat behind Triple Jay. Should appreciate a rise to 1400m and has upside still I feel.
Race 8. (18:20) Studco Handicap (72+) 1000m
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12 Ginnivan (Bet Now: $6.00) is a short course specialist and with his jump/run racing style, he is going to take running down. Jim Taylor trained three year old that ran over this track/distance two weeks ago, producing sustained speed from the front and gave nothing else a look in, winning by a space and running good time. Down in the weights, lands in front, he’ll be hard to get past.
Danger
5 Lexington City (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Simon Miller trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since May 4 at Ascot when giving them a start and a beating, rounding them up from off the speed to let down and win well. Resumes without a public trial but does have quality and a great fresh record.
Long Shot
1 Beads (Bet Now: $26.00) is getting on in years but he is still maintaining a healthy zest for racing, as seen at this track/distance last time when attempting to lead throughout and he gave a decent enough kick from the front but couldn’t quite see it through when nabbed late by quality mare Yonga Lass. Has to do work from the wide gate but saves his best for this track/distance.
Race 9. (18:50) Final Tickets To Christmas In July Handicap (1MW) 1600m
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11 Infuriated (Bet Now: $4.40) jumps straight to Saturday metro from a maiden, but he does look a very nice prospect on the up for Team Williams and strikes a thin race. He won the maiden here last time, eating up the 1700m when giving them a start and a beating in an impressive display. Back slightly in trip no issue, he’s on the up and I think is a horse that will go through his grades. Best on the program.
Danger
8 Wonder Women (Bet Now: $4.20) is a Dan Morton trained mare that found it hard to get another win on the board but that changed a fortnight back, when letting down with purpose from the back to win and win well. That was over this track/distance and now her confidence is up, she does command respect.
Long Shot
4 Feuding (Bet Now: $23.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. He ran behind Californication two weeks back here where he got a fair way out of his ground and made up minimal headway. Gets a better set up this time around and his best is more than good enough to take this out.
BEST BET: Race Nine Number 11 Infuriated
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 5 Manzor Magic
LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 8 Speed Dream
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 5
Leg Two: 1, 5, 8, 10, 11
Leg Three: 1, 5, 6, 12
Leg Four: 11
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