Friday, September 20, 2024

13/7/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Doomben

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Doomben will conduct a nine event meeting on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is out half a metre for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (11:53) Teddy Bears Picnic 3 August Hcp 1350m

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1 Savour The Charm (Bet Now: $3.30) is a Bevan Laming trained juvenile that was the subject of a plunge when racing over 1200m here at the midweeks and the bets were landed, driving hard late nearer the inside to get up and win. He’ll eat up 1350m to my eye and this isn’t an overly deep contest.

Danger

2 Miss Trustful (Bet Now: $4.60) has been up a little while but she is a filly that has solid form lines around her. Ciaron Maher trains and she was a bit on the plain side two weeks ago at Eagle Farm behind Depth Of Character, who I am trying to figure out if he’s a donkey or a star. Not sure, but I do think that form reads well for this.

Long Shot

6 River Rogue (Bet Now: $41.00) is racing like he will appreciate a rise to 1350m. He ran over 1200m at Dalby where he got back off the speed and while he was never threatening, he did make up ground and was solid enough in defeat when fourth. Like him up in trip and with a positive steer, he’s dangerous I am sure.

Race 2. (12:28) The Gibson (Bm78) 1110m

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4 Plundering (Bet Now: $5.00) is an Annabel Neasham trained gelding that resumes. He is first up, having not raced since March 9 at the Gold Coast on Jewel Day where he struggled on the very ordinary track surface when down the track behind This Is One. Trial was good, he handles wet ground…watch the market.

Danger

5 Brereton (Bet Now: $4.60) is a Tony Gollan trained son of Zoustar that resumes. This guy last raced at Caulfield on Feb 24 when down the track behind Twin Perfection, who was flying at the time. Now with Gollan, his trial was good and his best is more than good enough to take this out.

Long Shot

2 Economics (Bet Now: $4.60) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness for Stuart Kendrick. He ran on the home deck at the Sunny Coast last time when contesting a stronger race than this and didn’t disgrace himself at all in defeat behind Bring Me Kash. Back to this sort of grade of race, he can bounce back.

Race 3. (13:03) Country Music Raceday On Sale Now Hcp 1110m

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8 Avone (Bet Now: $12.00) has been strong in two runs back from a spell and appeals. Thought she did more than enough fresh at Doomben behind Tiger Shark before going to the QLD Day at Eagle Farm where she got back in the run and while she was never threatening, she made up ground and was good in defeat. Rates highly for mine.

Danger

14 Termagant (Bet Now: $7.50) looks a filly for O’Dea/Hoysted that has an engine under the hood. She resumed a few weeks ago over 1000m at the Sunny Coast where she gave them a start and a beating, launching late from the back to round them up and win in an impressive return. Good improvement to come, has change up speed, dangerous for sure.

Long Shot

5 Femme Fatale (Bet Now: $23.00) is a short course specialist for Kelly Schweida that resumes. This girl is first up, having not raced since Feb 24 at Doomben over 1110m when wide no cover on speed and that early burn just told late in the piece behind Defiant Spirit. Unbeaten fresh and seemed to move well in a recent trial at Doomben.

Race 4. (13:38) Ross Smith 40 Years Of Service (Bm68) 1200m

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1 I See You Coming (Bet Now: $2.45) looks to be a leading chance for Tony Gollan. He resumed three weeks ago at Ipswich when getting into a decent spot just off the speed and presented to be some sort of danger and loomed but being first up, condition just gave way late behind Atmosphere. Fitter and up in trip, he appeals.

Danger

13 Enabler (Bet Now: $21.00) is a good horse when right. He ran over 1110m here on June 19 where he got a mile out of his ground and while he was never really a winning threat, he worked home with real purpose and was quite good in defeat behind Hurts So Good. Hard to beat if he can settle closer.

Long Shot

12 Affinity Flyer (Bet Now: $11.00) is flying for Indiana Turner and commands respect. Loved the way she let down to win two back at Dalby before going to Ipswich three weeks ago when getting a suck run in transit behind the speed before angling clear and found the line with purpose in a really good effort behind Rockribbed. Hard to beat against these I say.

Race 5. (14:13) U&U Recruitment (Bm70) 1600m

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1 Blazen Boots (Bet Now: 
$SP.00
) tends to save his best for Doomben so returning here, I think he takes beating. He ran over the mile three weeks ago at Ipswich when near the speed throughout and tried hard but couldn’t quite get there when third to Cocobrew Express. Back to where he races best, can settle handy and this isn’t a deep race.

Danger

13 Agirlsbestfriend (Bet Now: $11.00) is a talented mare for Marc Quinn that commands respect. She was second up behind Toes In The Water two weeks back at Rosehill where she got a mile out of her ground but worked home with purpose in a pretty good effort behind the Nick Olive runner. Firmer footing would be perfect and if she can settle closer, she’ll take beating.

Long Shot

3 Kipling’s Journey (Bet Now: $9.00) is a ripper for Team Hulbert and should be thereabouts. He ran fifth to Cocobrew Express three weeks back at Ipswich. He was on speed and kept chipping away and though held late, he didn’t disgrace himself at all in a really good effort. Good racing style and is tough.

Race 6. (14:52) Sky Racing (Bm78) 1110m

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2 Liquor (Bet Now: $5.00) looks the leader and should take beating from on speed. She comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since May 25 here when on speed and tired late in a plain effort behind My Snow Queen. Been given a good freshen up and her tick over trial here was very good. Hard to beat, especially if she controls from the front.

Danger

12 Affinity Flyer (Bet Now: 
$SP.00
) is flying for Indiana Turner and commands respect. Loved the way she let down to win two back at Dalby before going to Ipswich three weeks ago when getting a suck run in transit behind the speed before angling clear and found the line with purpose in a really good effort behind Rockribbed. Hard to beat against these I say.

Long Shot

7 Jayanthi (Bet Now: $8.00) is a daughter of Hinchinbrook for O’Dea/Hoysted that resumes. This girl is first up, with her last run coming on March 2 at Eagle Farm when back off the speed and did make up minor headway behind stablemate Kanazawa. Resumes and although not a noted fresh horse, she does have a touch of quality.

Race 7. (15:32) Eureka Stud Plate (C3) 1350m

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3 Green Shadows (Bet Now: 
$SP.00
) is dangerous with his best. Superb first up winner at Warwick Farm before a a few of runs where he has been solid each time with excuses, the latest on the Kenso when back and making up some ground without threatening behind Pure Alpha. Genuine tempo (hopefully), he can take this out despite the gate.

Danger

10 Warby (Bet Now: $5.00) has a fab track/distance record and looks ready to win. He ran three weeks ago at Ipswich where he got too far back in the run but got out wide and charged late to run second to Oughton. If he can settle closer, be within range, he’s going to take holding out.

Long Shot

12 Affinity Flyer (Bet Now: 
$SP.00
) is flying for Indiana Turner and commands respect. Loved the way she let down to win two back at Dalby before going to Ipswich three weeks ago when getting a suck run in transit behind the speed before angling clear and found the line with purpose in a really good effort behind Rockribbed. Hard to beat against these I say.

Race 8. (16:08) Xxxx (Bm85) 1600m

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13 Rising Pacific (Bet Now: $6.50) for me. Tony Gollan trained gelding that has been freshened up, having not raced since June 12 here when back near last in the run and did make up headway but was never really threatening behind This’llbetheone. Tick over trial was good and with a more positive ride, he takes beating.

Danger

15 Madame Odette (Bet Now: $3.90) looks hard to beat for Tony Gollan. This mare ran over the mile three weeks ago at Ipswich where she worked home with purpose from off the speed when second to Cocobrew Express. Hard fit now and she has run well at the track/distance previously. Hard to beat against these.

Long Shot

9 Cinque Torri (Bet Now: $4.60) looks to get a decent enough run on speed and comes to town in winning form. He gave them a spanking at the Gold Coast Poly two weeks back where he led throughout and absolutely gapped his rivals, winning by a space in a dominant display. Harder here but confident he measures up.

Race 9. (16:43) Ladbroke It! (Bm85) 1350m

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9 Blakmax (Bet Now: $8.50) is a key threat. Tony Gollan trained gelding that comes here off the back of a win at Doomben where he gave them a start and a beating, launching late from the back to win and quite impressively I thought. More depth here, but off a win, he commands respect.

Danger

I am very interested in the former Kiwi 1 Mr Maestro (Bet Now: $41.00), who is now with Billy Healey after being with Andrew Forsman. I thought he went very nicely in a recent Sunny Coast trial and he likes dry ground, so conditions are here to suit him. He is right up in the weights, but he has class and maps ideally. Just wants this track to dry out.

Long Shot

3 The Vowels (Bet Now: $15.00) has a class factor on his side and I think it will carry him a long way towards victory. He resumed a fortnight back at Eagle Farm over 1200m where he paraded like he would need the run and that’s how it panned out but that said, he was far from disgraced in defeat behind Hidden Wealth. Fitter and up in trip, he takes beating.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 1 I See You Coming

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 2 Liquor

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 13 Rising Pacific

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 10, 12

Leg Three: 9, 12, 13, 15

Leg Four: 1, 3, 6, 9

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful


13/7/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Doomben

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