Friday, November 8, 2024

Caulfield tips Saturday: Value bet in Monash Stakes

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Form analyst Chris Vernuccio gives his best bets for the Sir John Monash Stakes meeting at Caulfield on Saturday.

BEST BET

ENNA’S DREAM (R1 No.2 – $1.60)

Three-year-old filly Enna’s Dream is back up to 1400m after a fast-closing second over 1200m at Caulfield last start. She looks ready to win at her fourth run of the prep after three placings, and gets the services of leading Victorian jockey Damian Lane. The scratching of Miss Roumbini helps her cause but has impacted her price.

NEXT BEST

RHEINBERG (R9 No.3 – $3.80)

Rheinberg broke through for a comprehensive victory over the track and distance last start, beating his key rivals here Chorlton Lane and St Lawrence. The extra weight shouldn’t be a problem for him to go back-to-back.

VALUE BET

ASHFORD STREET (R8 No.1 – $5)

Ashford Street made a strong start for new trainer Tom Dabernig with a win and second at Caulfield before struggling down the Flemington straight. He can rebound getting back to Caulfield, and he also excels on wet tracks which could give him the edge over resuming and fancied pair Recommendation and Mornington Glory.

THE JOCKEY

BEAU MERTENS

HEALING OASIS (R1 No.12 – $71), REZONE (R4 No.3 – $2.80), LIONEL (R5 No.1 – $23), UNSEEN RULER (R6 No.20 – $19), TUMBLING (R7 No.11 – $34), MORNINGTON GLORY (R8 No.3 – $3.20), DEGRAVES (R9 No.5 – $26).

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