Tuesday, October 22, 2024

Race-by-race preview and tips for Canterbury on Wednesday

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Dangers: 11. Eraantyva ran right up to her handy debut at this trial with a come-from-behind maiden win at Gosford on May 16 in heavy ground. Starts from gate one here and looks a danger. 9. Lulumon has been consistent, missing a place just once in eight starts. Odds-on when third at Kembla last time out beaten half a length. Probably gets back but should be running on as usual. 12. Yankee One landed in a good spot from a wide gate first-up and battled on OK in restricted room at times when fifth in a similar race here four weeks ago. Will need some luck again but is in the mix.
How to play it: Know Thyself WIN.

Race 4 – 2:45PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

1. Cabaca looks ready to win after seconds at her past two starts. Just run down second-up then game on a heavy 10 at Warwick Farm three weeks ago. Back to mares company, drawn to have every chance. Take beating.

Dangers: 6. Shuri started a solid favourite when resuming at Newcastle and might have had some excuses making her run along the inside in what looked inferior ground. Impressive enough winning her two starts last prep and can lift. 3. Allapercanto was a soft winner of a class 1 at Hawkesbury two weeks back at her fourth run from a spell. Has placed in this grade previously and is a definite chance. 2. Super Chilled has been a bit disappointing and was never a threat first-up at Kensington when in the market. Fitter for that and both wins have come at this track so she could be an improver.
How to play it: Cabaca WIN; Trifecta 1/ 2,3,6/2,3,6.

Race 5 – 3:20PM ADMIRE MARS AT ARROWFIELD HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

10. Primo raced handy to win a maiden at Kembla before getting back off a wide gate and running into a solid second at Newcastle a few weeks ago. Might have to press forward in a race lacking tempo but looks ready for the step up in class and distance.

Dangers: 3. Presser is an interesting runner now with Matthew Smith after two runs back in Victoria. Hit the line well late in his trial at Warwick Farm just over a week ago and any support would be significant in an open race. 9. Missile Seeker ran third in the same race as Primo and gets a nice 4kg drop in weight into this. Did start favourite there and is worth including in the chances. 5. Monarchs Brae won twice over 1900m at Canterbury last time in, and while he will improve on whatever he does first-up a forward showing wouldn’t surprise.
How to play it: Primo WIN.

Race 6 – 3:55PM ROBRICK LODGE HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

8. Little Cointreau rushed through the grades last time in winning a maiden and class 1 at the provincials before a narrow second in this grade at Warwick Farm back in January. Fitter for two trials, and she’s done nothing but be competitive so far.

Dangers: 3. Bunker Hut raced wide and was cut down late at Kensington before hitting the lead on the turn and boxing on for third on a heavy there two weeks ago. Down in class and 3kg claim a plus, so expect he will be a major player again. 11. Silent Raindrops gets the blinkers back on third-up and it might pay to forgive her failure at Kensington last time out where she went back and didn’t make an impact. First-up run was sound and is she’s a chance here. 4. Givara tends to be better second-up but poked through late in his recent trial and is down in grade on two runs since winning a BM72 in February. Keep in mind.
How to play it: Little Cointreau WIN.

Race 7 – 4:30PM NATIVE TRAIL @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1900 METRES)

14. Worth Avenue did a very big job to finish as close as she did second-up at Scone during the carnival and looks suited up in trip from a softer gate. Hit the line from an impossible position over a mile there and this doesn’t look any harder. Good chance.

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Dangers: 7. Frankly Elegant lifted off the canvas after being headed at the 200m to win at Kensington two weeks ago. Rolls forward from the gate, and if she gets any control you know she’ll give a good kick. Definite threat. 6. Pure Hydrogen ran on well from the back in a midway at Scone to continue his consistent form of late. Just needs a win but right in this if he gets any luck. 3. Yet He Moves was beaten as an odds-on favourite here two runs back then just battled on the heavy at Kensington last time. Could lift back onto a bit firmer ground.
How to play it: Worth Avenue WIN.

Best Bets
Race 2: (7) I Found You
Race 4: (1) Cabaca

Best Value
Race 7:
(14) Worth Avenue

Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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