ATP 500 Queen’s semifinals
Harris – Musetti: 21.06.2024 14:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Billy Harris has won four of his last five matches. Harris spent most of his career playing at the challenger tour level. Last week, Harris reached the semifinals at the challenger tournament in Nottingham where he lost against Broom in straight sets. Here in London, Harris won his first round match against Etcheverry in three tight sets. Today, in the 1/8-Finals, Harris won against Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets. Harris served well, and did not offer any breakpoints. Last year in London, Billy lost in the qualifying tournament against Tommy Paul.
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Stuttgart, Lorenzo reached the semifinals where he lost against Matteo Berrettini in straight sets. En route to the semifinals, Lorenzo had some solid wins. Here in London, Lorenzo upset Alex de Minaur in the first round in straight sets. In the second round, Lorenzo won against Brandon Nakashima in three tight sets. Musetti was great under pressure, saving 10/12 breakpoints. Last year in London, Musetti lost in the quarterfinals against Holger Rune.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a almost 50-50 match. Musetti is a way more experienced player playing so deep in the tournament. We believe that his experience will prevail in this match, and that he will win comfortably against Harris.
That being said, Musetti winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Musetti winning @1.62 @bet365
Draper – Paul: 21.06.2024 16:00 CEST
H2H: 3-1
Jack Draper has won seven straight matches. Last week in Stuttgart, Draper won the title, winning against Berrettini in the final. When his serve is working, Jack is one of the most dangerous players on grass. Here in London, Draper won his first round match against Navone in two easy sets. Today, in the second round, Draper upset Alcaraz in straight sets. It was one of the best matches of his season. Jack did not play any matches on grass last season due to an injury. In 2022, Draper lost in the second round here in London against Ruusuvuori.
Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. Last week, Paul reached the quarterfinals in Hertogenbosch where he lost against Sebastian Korda in straight sets. Here in London, Paul won his first round match against Sebastian Baez in straight sets. In the second round, Paul won against Jarry comfortably in straight sets. Last year in London, Paul lost against Francisco Cerundolo in the first round. Just one week after that, Cerundolo lost in the Eastbourne final yet again against Cerundolo.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is just a slight favorite in this matchup. We believe that he should have been a bigger favorite considering how good he has been playing on grass these last two weeks. We believe that he will win against Paul, and continue his winning streak.
That being said, Draper winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper winning @1.62 @bet365
Main Photo Credit:Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports