Sunday, December 22, 2024

Belmont Stakes 2024 guide: See odds, analysis, PPs

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The Triple Crown season comes to a close on Saturday at Saratoga as the Grade 1, $2 million Belmont Stakes will be renewed for the 156th time.

The race may be in a different place and at a different distance at 1 1/4 miles, but the Belmont lured 10 of the top 3-year-olds in training, including Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan and Preakness Stakes victor Seize the Grey.

Post time for the Belmont, the 12th of 14 races on the program, is scheduled for 6:41 p.m. EDT. The race will be aired on Fox.

Visit Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page today for downloadable PPs for the Belmont and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Belmont as well as recent top speed figures for each contender. Odds were pari-mutuels from the win pool late Friday.

Belmont Stakes best speed figures

Post Horse Odds Beyer TimeformUS HRN
  1 Seize the Grey   4-1 100 123 101
  2 Resilience 12-1   90 113   97
  3 Mystik Dan   6-1 101 118 104
  4 The Wine Steward 15-1   92 118   98
  5 Antiquarian 10-1   92 118   98
  6 Dornoch 14-1   91 116   98
  7 Protective 17-1   89 116   96
  8 Honor Marie 12-1   96 113   96
  9 Sierra Leone   2-1   99 117 103
10 Mindframe   7-1 103 121 113

Looking at the pace

Seize the Grey does not figure to get an easy lead from his rail draw, with Dornoch and Mindframe projected to shadow him through fast fractions.

Race favorite Sierra Leone is expected to once again be among the back markers in the field early on.

Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.

HRN picks for the Belmont Stakes

Don’t miss out on the Belmont to Breeders’ Cup Super Screener package, which is now on sale for just $127, a savings of $360. It has everything you need to be successful on this stakes-laden Saturday card at Saratoga and much more.

Ed DeRosa’s Belmont Stakes fair odds wonder how low Sierra Leone’s odds will go as the 9-5 morning-line favorite and discusses the merits of Derby winner Mystik Dan and Preakness winner Seize the Grey.

DeRosa also sized up the Met Mile fair odds and believes National Treasure will offer better value than White Abarrio. For more Met Mile analysis, check out Matt Shifman’s Met Mile picks.

Shifman’s Belmont Stakes analysis favors Mindframe, the promising Todd Pletcher colt that makes his stakes debut in the final leg of the Triple Crown. Speaking of Pletcher, Tom Pedulla caught up with the four-time Belmont Stakes-winning trainer to discuss the chances of all three of his charges in this race.

Padraic Manocchio sized up the Belmont Stakes field from first to last, and one of his Top 3 choices may surprise you.

New York Racing Association TV analyst Andy Serling joined the Ron Flatter Racing Pod to discuss the Belmont at Saratoga Saturday card.

Here’s the field for the Belmont Stakes:

Post Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last Start / Next Start HRN
1 Seize The Grey

Arrogate

7.87

D. Wayne Lukas

Jaime Torres

1st, 2024 Preakness Stakes G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

8-1

Last Race

Next Race

1st, 2024 Preakness Stakes G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

2 Resilience

Into Mischief

7.46

William I. Mott

Junior Alvarado

6th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

10-1

Last Race

Next Race

6th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

3 Mystik Dan

Goldencents

7.90

Kenneth G. McPeek

Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.

2nd, 2024 Preakness Stakes G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

5-1

Last Race

Next Race

2nd, 2024 Preakness Stakes G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

4 The Wine Steward

Vino Rosso

6.35

Michael J. Maker

Manuel Franco

2nd, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

15-1

Last Race

Next Race

2nd, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

5 Antiquarian

Preservationist

6.45

Todd A. Pletcher

John R. Velazquez

1st, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

12-1

Last Race

Next Race

1st, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

6 Dornoch

Good Magic

7.17

Danny Gargan

Luis Saez

10th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

15-1

Last Race

Next Race

10th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

7 Protective

Medaglia d’Oro

0.00

Todd A. Pletcher

Tyler Gaffalione

3rd, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

20-1

Last Race

Next Race

3rd, 2024 Peter Pan G3

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

8 Honor Marie

Honor Code

6.80

D. Whitworth Beckman

Florent Geroux

8th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

10-1

Last Race

Next Race

8th, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

9 Sierra Leone

Gun Runner

7.90

Chad C. Brown

Flavien Prat

2nd, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

9-5

Last Race

Next Race

2nd, 2024 Kentucky Derby G1

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

10 Mindframe

Constitution

6.87

Todd A. Pletcher

Irad Ortiz, Jr.

1st, CD AlwOC (5/4/24-R3)

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

7-2

Last Race

Next Race

1st, CD AlwOC (5/4/24-R3)

2024 Belmont Stakes G1

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