Friday, October 25, 2024

Government prepared to underwrite housing projects to boost viability

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Such measures could extend to underwriting deposits on presales, as meeting presale targets to secure construction finance had become a key hurdle for developers. Planning Minister Paul Scully told the same conference the number of NSW dwellings approved but not commenced rose from 13,700 to 15,600 in the December quarter.

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Jackson’s speech followed a presentation by CBRE’s Asia-Pacific head of research Sameer Chopra, who said unit prices and rents in Sydney needed to increase by 30 per cent to make developments more feasible.

“Right now one of the big constraints in supply is: the price is not right. Construction costs have gone up by 35 to 40 per cent and are starting to increase again this year,” he said.

“If the sale price or the rent isn’t right, you just do not have the right economic motivation to bring stock to market. To activate supply in earnest, we’re going to need to see prices move up by 30 per cent.”

Domain’s latest rental report found the median unit rent in Sydney had reached $700 a week – an increase of 13 per cent in one year. But Chopra said rents were not as expensive as in other world cities, as a professional couple could easily earn a combined $300,000 a year.

“In Sydney, about 28-30 per cent of median income goes towards rent,” Chopra said. “That sounds like a big number; it’s actually not a big, big number. In markets like New York and London, people spent about half their income on rent.

“The affordability barrier is much higher than what we are assuming. A large part of Australia can afford to pay between $1000 and $1500 a week for a two-bedroom apartment.”

Jackson told the audience she “just about fell off my chair” at Chopra’s remarks.

“I have not cleared this with cabinet … but I’m here to inform you the NSW government’s position is that prices cannot rise by 30 per cent,” she said. “That is going to be a major challenge for any government to deal with.”

Jackson also gave a strong indication next week’s state budget would contain funding for public housing. The government knew it had to put resources on the table for social and affordable housing, she said, and this would be “reflected in the budget”.

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Property Council of NSW chief executive Katie Stevenson, who was chief of staff to former Liberal cities minister Rob Stokes, said she expected any government intervention in development finance would lean towards the consumer side, such as underwriting deposits.

“We’ve been talking really intensely about some of the market pressures. [People in] the room were really pleased to hear that was being considered as an option,” she said. “It’s not just ‘change the planning controls and the market will jump’. There are a whole lot of other factors in play.”

The industry used the summit to call for the temporary suspension of developer contributions for enabling infrastructure, including water and sewerage, arguing this would boost project viability.

However, Scully shot that idea down. “That is a short-term solution to multiple pressures, and one that has long-term consequences,” he said. “I must have an eye, and the government must have an eye, to those long-term consequences.

“If we don’t have that enabling infrastructure, and a means to pay for it, we can’t approve development applications.”

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