Saturday, November 2, 2024

Measles surges globally as immunisation in Australia suffers setback. Are we at risk of an outbreak?

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A sharp rise in measles cases is being witnessed worldwide, with outbreaks occurring in almost every part of the world.

After decades of declining rates, it made a resurgence so strong in 2023, UK authorities were prompted to declare a national incident this January and the World Health Organisation (WHO) calling for an urgent response

Measles is the most contagious disease in the world according to the WHO and up until the introduction of a vaccine in 1963, caused deaths in the millions each year.

Global elimination efforts since have significantly helped reduce its spread, with an estimated 57 million deaths successfully prevented between 2000 and 2022.

But measles’ high infectivity rate means even a select few countries with weak immunisation programs can pose a threat.

With Australia’s high immunisation rates, do we really stand at risk of importing an epidemic? 

Experts say while the likelihood of widespread transmission remains very low, with growing hesitancy to vaccines and lack of access, there are root problems to consider.

Cross-border transmission risks

Measles cases rose by almost 80 per cent worldwide last year compared to 2022.

More than 30,000 contractions were recorded in the WHO’s European Region alone compared to just 941 the previous year, in what the organisation says was roughly a 40-fold increase.

In Australia, the infection rate remains well below pre-COVID levels but has seen a year-on-year increase since 2021, with most cases being overseas returns. 

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