Monday, December 23, 2024

Race-by-race preview and tips for Rosehill on Saturday

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5. Captain Furai travelled into the straight at Rosehill like the winner two weeks ago but was no match for Franz Josef. Captain Furai kept trying in defeat, holding a two-length margin on the rest of the field. Back slightly in trip to 1400m shouldn’t bother him, nor will the prospect of getting onto firmer footing. 4. Little Cointreau draws wide too but there are five emergencies to come out. He has won three of his past four starts. None of his wins have been by more than a length. He simply knows how to win. Admirable. Would be keen on 3. Silvanito if he had drawn a gate. Comes through a deep race at Scone behind Elson Boy. It has produced five subsequent winners.
How to play it: Captain Furai to win

RACE 6 – 1:55PM PRECISE AIR HCP (1300m)

Willing to forget 2. Southern Chilli ever ran last start. It was at Warwick Farm where she settled back and wide, never getting into the race. The ride won the race with 4. Demiana settling one out, one back. The runner-up settled second. Third, fourth and fifth drew barriers 1, 2 and 3. In short, it was a strange race. Those that fanned had no chance. Southern Chilli won a similar race prior, at Rosehill in this same grade over 1300m. Like the claim of Jake Barrett, which sees the mare drop 4kg from last start. The biggest thing in her favour is the ability to settle in the first couple from a better draw and in a race without an obvious leader. 6. Left Field has been brilliant in her three runs back. She charged home in the Denise’s Joy at Scone two starts ago. She then did her best breaststroke impression at Rosehill last start, trying ever so hard in the conditions.
How to play it: Southern Chilli each-way

RACE 7 – 2:30PM ATC FOUNDATION HCP (1100m)

5. Hanau started to work it out last campaign. The three-year-old was still learning on the job. He beat Xidaki in a Super Maiden to get on the board before missing in a bob of the heads at the midweeks. He atoned with a dominant Canterbury win, albeit having found the fast lane on the fence. The son of Snitzel, out of a mare that is a full sister to Pierro, has trialled brilliantly ahead of his return. Like the 1100m first up, drawn well in what looks a truly run race with 2. Passeggiata engaged. Want to follow him through the grades this time back. Passeggiata is a Rosehill 1100m winner in the past so the trip holds no fears despite having raced over 900m and 1000m in her past five starts. Bailey Wheeler has been tasked with harnessing her speed, taking 3kg off her back.
1. Everyone’s A Star lines up for start 13 of her prep but there is no reason to tip her out. She keeps showing up.
How to play it: Hanau to win

RACE 8 – 3:05PM KIA WINTER CUP (2400m)

It may have been the one that got away for 2. Hopeful last Saturday at Randwick. He was luckless in the Lord Mayors Cup behind Eliyass. He’s well placed to atone here. The key to this horse is wet ground. He should get that. It’s unlikely to be heavy but a soft track will suffice. The seven-year-old was five weeks between runs last start. This is a new challenge for him, running on the quick back-up for the first time. 1. Sir Lucan is hard to attack with confidence after his effort in the Lord Mayors. He was firm in betting late but floundered in the heavy going. If the best version turns up, he’ll take running down. 5. Bonny Ezra boxed away at Eagle Farm last start having won at the Sunshine Coast prior. He is a fit stayer coming down from Queensland, a formula Chris Waller has used with success in the past.
How to play it: Hopeful to win

RACE 9 – 3:45PM RACING FOR GOOD ON JULY 13 HCP (1500m)

6. Franz Josef is a powerhouse three-year-old. Had to be impressed by the way he charged through the line to win over this same track and trip last start having led. He clocked the fastest last 200m in the race. He is an imposing horse with his asset the ability to roll along at a clip before quickening. That’s three wins from his first four starts. Rises slightly in grade but he profiles to skip through the ratings over the winter. 16. Captain Furai gets a 2kg weight swing to help him turn the tables on Franz Josef from last start. He travelled into the straight like the winner. Beat third comfortably and maps to jump straight onto the back of Franz Josef. 15. Allapercanto is starting to put it all together and earns crack in this company now. Draws wide.
How to play it: Franz Josef to win

RACE 10 – 4:25PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HCP (1300m)

9. Sir Ravanelli may have been flattered by the heavy track at Newcastle last start and his ability to get through testing tracks, but it was a big win none-the-less. The grey made a wide, looping run in the middle of the track and sustained his sprint. He beat Starman, which doesn’t make a habit of winning but is a good benchmark for this level of Saturday race. He might be a six-year-old but the gelding looks to have returned better again. He is now eight wins from 22 starts. The knock on 14. Step Aside is the price. That’s not to say he won’t improve again in his fourth preperation but he is priced on potential. Has trialled well, maps well and has won first up in his past two campaigns. 10. Elson Boy is a winning machine! He chases six straight wins and beat Ostraka on his merits at Scone last start.
How to play it: Sir Ravanelli to win

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Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

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