Selections based on a heavy track. Monitor for bias/pattern.
Race 1 – 12:50PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Keen on 4. Tarpaulin, who brings a dominant ratings/sectional profile and has a positive race set-up. The Godolphin galloper was heavily backed first-up at this track and distance a fortnight ago, and although having his chance, his effort was full of merit against the clock when running second behind a smart type. He sprinted hard and went through the line full of energy, recording one of the fastest final 200m splits of the meeting. That race rated well against the day, and the margins throughout confirmed the quality. He will be fitter for that, maps to have all favours and repeating that last-start figure will make him hard to hold out.
Racing returns to Warwick Farm on Wednesday for an eight-race card.Credit: Getty
Dangers: 1. Trunk, who resumes, has had the usual Waterhouse and Bott two-pattern trials. Expect him to improve sharply out of them into this assignment. The colt’s debut effort was solid behind subsequent group 3 placegetter Stay Focused, and if he can get back to that level, he can be in the finish with Nash Rawiller riding. 13. Scintilla got too far back on debut from a wide draw and had the race shape against. To her credit, she ran on well and clocked fast closing splits. The filly can settle closer from the inside draw and represents value. 5. Delrico, a nice type, has trialled well and add 8. Cindersea, who won well at Newcastle in solid time.
How to play it: Tarpaulin to win.
Race 2 – 1:25PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
7. Pink Shalala finds a winnable race second-up and expect him to step off his first-up placing at Wyong. The three-year-old got into an awkward spot prior to the turn, but he had nothing to bring him into the race and had too much to do after balancing up in the straight. Additionally, he raced as if he would benefit from the run, but still knuckled down to find the line. All key indicators suggest improvement. He maps to have all favours, the step back in distance suits, and he is coming through a high-rating race. Likeable profile.
Dangers: 6. Drama Dodger had only one trial before her first-up run at Wyong, where she got too far back. However, her performance had merit after being checked and blocked at key stages in the straight, and she still clocked the meeting’s fastest final 200m to just miss in a tight finish. 1. Coincide is wound right up for this assignment and 5. Ces Soirees La has trialled well enough.
How to play it: Pink Shalala to win.
Race 3 – 2:00PM ADMIRE MARS AT ARROWFIELD HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
15. Du Cap has raced well in her first campaign and has run to a consistent figure this prep that can put her in the finish. The filly led at a good-even tempo last start at Wyong, over 1100m, and battled on well to finish fourth. She can bounce back here with a fitness edge and is proven on rain-affected ground. In addition, she maps well and is a knockout chance. Each-way.
Dangers: Key late market watch on NZ import 7. Mckenzie, who brings strong form lines/figures and can rate to win. 3. Love And Light will be fitter and 8. Fiorenza will hit the line hard.
How to play it: Du Cap each-way.