Saturday, November 9, 2024

SENTrack: Chris Nelson’s Saturday best bets at Eagle Farm (1/06)

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Massive day of racing at Eagle Farm highlighted by 2 x Group 1’s, the Queensland Derby & Kingsford Smith Cup. Track rated a soft (6) this morning after 3.5mm overnight, up to 15mm is forecast this afternoon into the evening, hopefully after the last! First of 9 races set to go at 11.43am.

BEST BET

RACE 6 # 7 SCHWARZ

Progressive 3yo from the John O’Shea stable fresh off a dominant Hawkesbury Guineas win a month back. He led on that occasion on what was a deteriorating surface giving nothing else a chance in the run to the line. His prior form was very good in strong company & he’s been kept up to the mark winning a recent trial on heavy ground without leaving first gear.

BEST VALUE

RACE 2 # 10 WARBY

Although favourite this morning he still looks overs to me. Finds a very suitable race & gets Blake Shinn to steer, will get back however if we’re still racing on nothing worse than soft he’ll be motoring home.

RACE 1 # 16 SUNSET SOIREE

Good at Doomben a fortnight back making ground on the stablemate (Tenzing) who she meets better at the weights today. Races well here & can park closer.

RACE 5 # 16 EL MORZILLO

Super consistent filly from the Kelly Schweida yard who just keeps on running good races & generally without any luck. She zoomed home at Doomben a fortnight back over 1200m & finally today takes the step to 1400m which I’d suggest she’s been chasing for some time. Perfectly drawn with Craig Williams to steer she’ll park closer & from there will get her chance.

EAGLE FARM (SOFT 6 TRACK)

Race 1 – 16, 7, 5, 10
Race 2 – 10, 1, 13, 16
Race 3 – 6, 5, 13, 2
Race 4 – 15, 3, 7, 2
Race 5 – 16, 10, 1, 2
Race 6 – 7, 17, 4, 10
Race 7 – 9, 1, 2, 5
Race 8 – 18, 1, 12, 11
Race 9 – 4, 13, 2, 14

GET ALL TODAY’S BEST BETS AT THE TIPPING HUB


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